Predictions / Economic Impact

Mar, 2014The CNN 10: Future of Driving
Fully self-driving cars remain some years away. But new technology in the next five to 10 years will help cars park themselves, monitor the alertness of the driver and even communicate with each other to avoid collisions. Tomorrow’s cars may have long-range headlights, external airbags and hydrogen fuel-cell engines that emit only water.
With this project, CNN is honoring 10 innovations in automotive tech. Some of these may gain traction quickly, while others may spin their wheels in the marketplace. But all have the potential to change how we drive – in a good way.

January, 2014 - Rand CorporationAutonomous Vehicle Technology
For the past hundred years, innovation within the automotive sector has created safer, cleaner, and more affordable vehicles, but progress has been incremental. The industry now appears close to substantial change, engendered by autonomous, or “self-driving,” vehicle technologies. This report is intended as a guide for state and federal policymakers on the many issues that this technology raises.

November, 2013 - Victoria Transport Policy Institute - Autonomous Vehicle Implementation Predictions - Implications for Transport Planning
This report explores the implications of autonomous (self-driving) vehicles on transportation planning.  It identifies their potential benefits and costs, predicts their likely development and deployment patters, and how they will affect transport planning decisions such as road and parking supply and public transit demand.

October, 2013 - ENO Center for TransportationPreparing a Nation for Autonomous Vehicles: Opportunities, Barriers and Policy Recommendations
This paper focuses on the changes and benefits autonomous vehicles could bring to the nation’s transportation system. Barriers to implementation, liabilities, security and data privacy are also discussed, as well as the impacts and interactions with other components of the current transportation system.

October, 2013 - KPMGSelf-Driving Cars: Are We Ready?
This is a follow-up to their 2012 report.  In this report, KPMG went directly to consumers to ask the all-important question: If self-driving vehicles were available and safe, would you use them?

October, 2013 - CEA - 5 Technology Trends to Watch in 2014
CEA, the group that hosts the CES show each January lists 5 technologies they believe will make a big impact starting in 2014.  One of these is Driverless cars.

Summer, 2013 - Thomas J. Bamonte - Autonomous Vehicles: Drivers of Change
Mr. Bamonte is general counsel at the North Texas Tollway Authority, Plano, Texas.  This paper discusses how Highway authorities need to start preparing now for the inevitability of driverless vehicles.

May, 2013 - McKinsey Global InstituteDisruptive technologies: Advances that will transform life, business, and the global economy
This report identifies 12 technologies, including driverless cars, that could drive truly massive economic transformations and disruptions in the coming years.

May, 2013 - The EconomistDebate: Driverless cars - Are completely self-driving cars feasible in the foreseeable future?
An online debate, with external comments, on if driverless cars are coming.

January, 2013 - The Earth Institute Columbia University - Transforming Personal Mobility
A series of case studies that look at the economic impact of autonomous vehicles and car sharing businesses.

August, 2012 - KPMG/Center for Automotive Research - Self-driving cars: The next revolution
This paper provides the most comprehensive discussion to date of whether so-called automated, autonomous, self-driving, or driverless vehicles can be lawfully sold and used on public roads in the United States. The short answer is that the computer direction of a motor vehicle’s steering, braking, and accelerating without real-time human input is probably legal. The long answer, contained in the paper, provides a foundation for tailoring regulations and understanding liability issues related to these vehicles.

May, 2012 - AUVSIThe Case for Driverless Cars
This paper takes a look at the current U.S. consumer car market, how it might change with driverless cars, and some emerging issues as technology hurdles are overcome.

Spring, 2011Access the magazine of UCTCThe Impact of Carsharing on Household Vehicle Ownership
A detailed study on the impact of car sharing today.